Indian Rupee touches 2 year low against greenback

October 6th, 2008

Rupee reclaimed its ground at 45.85/86 against US dollar, after it lowered down in early trade with a two year low of 46. The gain had been a result of drop in local stocks and dollar’s weak position in abroad.

The Indian rupee strengthen at 45.53/55 against dollar after it had a close of 45.75/76 and later the currency reached 45.46, pushed by fall of dollar against major currencies. Although in late morning trade, rupee dropped to 45.85/86 against dollar, a level last reached in 10th October 2006 with a close of 45.80/81 a dollar.

In early trade, the Indian currency was found 25 paise down to 46 in opposition to greenback. According to foreign exchange dealers, the outcome of rupee hitting a low is a result of fall of Asian stocks as well as fine amount of dollar purchase done by banks.

Greenback trades mix, as uncertainty circles the plan

October 6th, 2008

On Tuesday, dollar was found trading mixed with uncertainty still hanging on, as traders look forward to details and outcome of rescue plan of government of United States for purchase mortgage-related assets following the current credit crisis.

In Asian trade, dollar was found easing against yen as it touched 105.31 yen from New York’s trade of 105.42. Due to public holidays, markets in Tokyo were closed.

On other hand, on Monday euro went down from 1.4796 to 1.4769, as dollar witnessed its worst single day fall against European currency. Euro even touched record high since 22nd august and prime move since 1999, as it moved to $1.4866.

While the government is discussing over the proposed $700-billion rescue plan for financial sector, dealers believe investors are still doubtful over the plan and are not sure of its effect on the crisis. Treasury economist with United Overseas Bank Group, Thomas Lam, says that the sketchy draft of the plan is little confusing for investors.

Lam added that dollar-yen is retorting to leap in oil prices across the globe. New York oil futures were found touching over a high of $16, on Monday.

David Sing at Forex Capital Management added that dollar is bearing the uncertainties surroundings the result of the rescue plan of the US government and that everyone in the market is awaiting the effects, as well as the consequences of the proposed rescue plan.

Lam feels that investors are bound to take hint from the testimony by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke, anticipated on Tuesday and Wednesday. He said that its all will be of public interest as markets are yet to get stable and are in unpredictable stage.

There is a section of dealers that feel that market is worried about the rescue plan and its outcome, as it is feeling that the funding of the rescue plan will prove to be lot more tricky and could pressurize US currency, which could further lead to consideration on rate hike by Federal Reserve for strengthening the currency. The section of market is sensing rate cute by US in order to boost the economic conditions and the disturbances.

While there are some who are not sure about the plan, President George Bush and Paulson after disclosing the rescue plan are now looking forward to the congress for approving the suggested idea.

Greenback hits low against euro

October 6th, 2008

On Monday, US dollar moved down against euro as it touched a three-week. The lows hit by the greenback is the result of concerns regarding the outcome of the $700-billion bailout plan of the government of united states, which is designed to soothe the worldwide credit crisis.

Euro moved up against dollar to a high of $1.4660, which is the highest level touched since 1st of September.

Director of currency research at Action Economics in Tampa, Florida, Ron Simpson said that it is hard to guess the result of the rescue plan of US government. Ron added that one can only estimate the amount it will charge, also that the scenario of economic position of US is not that great with all the uncertainty circling around.

Greenback falls against euro and yen, as US focuses on rescue plan

October 3rd, 2008

On Monday, dollar went down against euro and yen. Greenback fell with investors looking forward to specifications of sketched US rescue of $700 billion from shocking mortgage debt. Investors also await the effect of the plan in helping the credit crisis.

Stating that the rescue is required for guarding the economy of United States, Bush administration forwarded the rescue plan to congress asking for power to deal with the credit crisis.

According to the proposed plan, after cutting down short selling and assuring mutual funds for soothing down economical markets, Government could get hold of home and commercial mortgages worth $700billion along with correlated assets from the banks of United States.

Henry Paulson, U.S. Treasury Secretary, said that under the rescue plan even foreign banks will be to drop off bad financial assets. The plan is intended to reinstate the order in shocking credit crisis.

According to chief Forex strategist at JPMorgan Chase Bank in Tokyo, Tohru Sasaki, after the proposed plan market has moved out of the alarming stage. However, he also added that with market being in fixed state and with no definite idea on the effect the plan is going to have on crisis, it is soon to say that the problems are resolved.

Following a cycle of action taken by government of United States that flickered rally in financial shares of US, yen was found regaining its base against euro and greenback. Whereas, Monday saw a low trading in Asian trade by U.S. stock index futures, which hinted that US stocks will return its gains from Friday’s rally. Some investors believe that, in spite of a gain of 2 percent in Tokyo’s Nikkei share average as well as a gain in other stock markets, this situation could have impelled investors towards buying of yen in Asian trade.

Dollar touched a 0.8 percent of drop as it moved to 106.61 yen after falling from a level of 108.04 on EBS. Whereas, euro moved 0.8 percent up against dollar and touched $1.4516, but stumbled against yen by 0.5 percent with 154.73 yen.

Many analysts say that it is hard to judge the outcome of the plan as many questions are yet to be answered, such as the price that will be paid for toxic debts by government of United States as well as what time will the buying commence.

Chief economist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank, Etsuko Yamashita, said that the plan isn’t a complete solution to the problems of banking zone. He also believes that market needs to be vigilant. Yamashita called remarks made by Treasury Secretary Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, while testifying in front of congress regarding market economic outlook, could sway the reaction of the market.

The rescue of plan of government of United States pursues the chaotic developments that changed the Wall Street, including sale of Merrill Lynch & Co, takeover of insurer American International Group by government and fall of Lehman Brothers.

Greek Unemployed Rate Falls to 10 Yr Low In 2Q

October 3rd, 2008

The quarterly unemployment rate of Greece came down to 7.1% in the second quarter of the year and the most striking part is that it is their ten year low. According to the data available from National Statistics Service on Thursday, it came down from 8.2% rate in the first quarter. According to the available data there was an ongoing job increase in just about all the industries and areas and brought continual unemployment rate in order with the Euro-zone averages in Greece.

According to a statement by Manolis Kontopyrakis who is the chief of the statistics services, with this data we are very pleased that we are experiencing a downfall in unemployment in all areas and sectors of the country. He also added that we have sufficient facts and figures to make a prediction that in the coming two quarters the ratio of unemployment will fall down more. This is for the first time that the yearly rate of unemployment for the current year will be below eight percent since the analysis got began in the year 1998.

Especially for the current year Mr. Manolis made a prediction that the standard rate of unemployment would be 7.7%. According to the new received data as compared to first quarter’s 4.50 million, the number of employed went up to 4.56 million in the second quarter. In the second quarter the unemployment rate for male was 4.6% which also witnessed a downfall from a 5.4%. As for the females the unemployment came down to 10.8% which was earlier 12.2%

Going according to the age group, the unemployment rate mainly comprised of the young population, here also the unemployment for the age group between 15-24 age groups came down to 15.4% in the second quarter which was 17.3% in the first quarter. Going according to the region in the year’s first three months main unemployment rate was in the industrial region of Western Macedonia where the unemployment was 12.3% which came down a little from 12.5%.

The islands of northern Aegean having the lowest unemployment rate, here also the unemployment fell to 4.1% in the second quarter earlier which was 5.3%. Attica where half of the Greek population lives, unemployment rate came down to 6.0% in the second quarter from 6.5% in the first.

Greece is happy with a healthy economic growth i.e. of 3.4% in the second quarter so far which is not influenced by any financial problems. But the employment opportunities stayed poor and were quite behind the average mark.

Germany in no need for German Financial Rescue Plan like America

October 3rd, 2008

According to Mr. Ulrich Wilhelm who is a government spokesperson, the government of Germany felt no need for establishing a rescue package just like America did in order to face the crisis of financial market. He also added that for them there are dissimilarities concerning the liabilities and results, thus according to the government point of view there is no need for such actions.

At the government’s press meeting Mr. Ulrich justified the way American government acted. American government’s point of view agrees with the federal government on the measures taken that will eventually assist in easing up the financial market pressure. The American financial market makes a little impact on the financial market of Germany but at the same time the steadiness of the American financial market is also very important for them.

Mr. Ulrich also added that the both the government and central banks of seven of the foremost industrial countries are in touch about the issue. On the other hand German Finance Ministry spokesperson Mr. Torsten Albig was of the view that America’s official request is still pending. Mr. Henry Paulson who is the Treasury Secretary, has suggested a $700 billion plan to make the country’s poor financial sector steady and also suggested that other countries should follow Washington supposed banks’ bad mortgage debit.

There are probabilities that G7 finance ministers might organize a conference. Mr. Ulrich felt that there should be some global guidelines as only one country’s national guidelines are just not sufficient to deal with such issues. Mr. Torsten repeated that Germany is right on his part asking about the financial markets transparency. When in the previous year the presidency of Group of Eight foremost countries took place this issue was given the topmost priority.

On this same press meeting, Mr. Torsten said that in the beginning Anglo-American partners were opposing this. They maintained a distance in the year 2007 and at the time of the financial problem they again left us and now they are again making a comeback. Mr. Torsten also added that the planning that also includes Financial Stability Forum are some resolutions in order to prevent the future issues like this. Since the early year of 2007 the discussions have concentrated on preventing future unknown issues like- capital conditions, better hedge fund transparency, and ratings agency actions.

Mr. Torsten said that we have to put trust in that this will be the last financial problem. Germany, in the previous year during their G8 presidency organized a code of conduct for instantly increasing hedge fund industry but was unsuccessful to gather support from members of G8- Japan, Britain, and America.

Federal Reserve steps in to control Credit crisis

October 3rd, 2008

On Thursday, Federal Reserve jumped into action to loosen down the hold of weakening credit crisis, by tossing in billions of cash in the US financial market and abroad.

With an objective of easing down the financial system from hardening up, Federal Reserve Bank of New York brought $55 billion in the momentary reserves of United States. The step comes when Ben Bernanke, Fed Chairman, struggles with a financial crisis ever since the Great depression. Financial system of America has been shaken up terribly.

President Bush in his statement said that he has been closely huddled with Henry Paulson, Treasury Secretary. Trying to reassure the nervousness spread in the country, he said that financial markets are dealing with huge severe challenges. President Bush also said that in order to ease down the crisis government is taking every possible measure.

An increase in borrowing costs turns banks unenthusiastic towards lending, which deteriorates the existing tensed credit situations. The release of cash in the market was aimed at calming down the sudden rush in the lending rate among banks. At early morning hours, Federal Reserves swung in action to calm down the growing crisis. Fed in coordination with other banks flooded markets with a huge amount of dollars, also it increased the flow of cash $180 billion to $247 billion to the central banks.

In a statement issued, Federal Reserve said that the steps taken are to improve the crisis in financial markets across the globe. Fed also explained that central banks have been working closely to take the right measures for handling the existing stress in the market. Major Banks that are working in coordination with the Federal Reserve are Swiss National Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada and European Central Bank.

Stirred white house, spurred up presidential candidates and shocked America is the outcome of the crisis in global financial market.

President Bush called the Fed’s bonding with other central banks of throwing cash in the frozen market ‘a significant move’, on the other hand Democratic presidential contender Sen. Barack Obama also called Fed action a right step for managing operation of financial system as well as for maintaining liquidity of credit to households and businesses of America.

The step taken by Federal Reserve came during a chaotic week when the stock market fell and investors took a shelter at safer options like gold and Treasury securities. On Wednesday, for a brief moment investors were found ready to overpay for certain Treasury securities.

The week started with filing for bankruptcy by a major investment bank Lehman Brothers and commenced with purchase of Merrill Lynch by Bank of America. In order to allow the government to take charge of the firm, Fed gave an $85 billion of loan to leading insurance company American International Group. The year has witnessed failure of 11 federally insured banks and economies and the biggest economy Washington Mutual Inc., is on the edge.

On Tuesday, Fed refused to low down the borrowing costs and to undo its course in the middle of weakening financial situations, thus it left the key interest rate untouched at 2 percent.

According to Federal Reserve’s officials the freezing credit condition and financial problems have flattened the rising impact of reductions by central bank on the businesses and consumers.

Economy is losing its grip and rate of unemployment is at its five-year high, with 6.1 percent.

While some believe that a rate cut at this time would not change the situation as well as neither help the anxious consumers nor will it strengthening the economy, on the other hand those not in favor says that a rate cut would send wrong and negative signs to companies with bad bets.

Euro moves up against greenback

October 3rd, 2008

Euro went up against greenback. The session high rise of euro came after pushing investors in buying of the currency for averting additional losses, by infringing of major technical level. Investors were forced to buy the euro in spite of betting against the currency.

After touching a high of 1.4301, euro went 1.2 percent up against the US currency at $1.4298 .

Chief currency strategist at Forex.com in Bedminster New Jersey, Brian Dolan, said that the breaking of few technical levels over $1.4250 caused a short grip. He also added that there isn’t any clear blueprint or pattern.

Dollar stronger against Euro and Yen

October 1st, 2008

On Friday the Dollar witnessed a jump against both Yen and Euro, boost up by the news that American government is working on a plan to deal with the bank assets those are main source behind the credit problem. Mr. Henry Paulson who is American Treasury Secretary and Mr. Ben Bernake who is the Federal Reserve Chairman will be planning to work on a plan throughout the weekend that will be mainly focused on the how to deal with the liquid assets.

These assets are the main reason behind the breaking of the balance sheets of the banks and this week pushed Lehman Brothers to file for the bankruptcy protection and it also encouraged the bailout of American International Group. According to this plan there will be a setting up a fund for purchasing troubled bank assets like RTC (Resolutions Trust Corporation) that can be put into use to clean up bad debts from the savings and loan crisis that took place during 1980s.

According to Mr. Masafumi Yamamoto who is the chief of foreign exchange strategy of Japan at Royal Bank of Scotland, the investors made the purchase of the dollar trusting that the new systems will prove beneficial in solving problems in the financial structure rather than managing with the issues at personal financial firms. Mr. Masafumi also added that this news will ease out the investor’s problems over risk assets along with the purchase of the dollar.

The dollar index which keeps a record for the performance of American currency against six of the main currencies was up by 1.2 percent and was at 79.048. The Euro fell down 1.3 percent from late American trade at $1.4159 extending its drop by Thursday’s two week high of $1.4542. The Dollar increased 1.6 percent to 107.10 which showed an increase of one yen from the day’s low of approximately 105.40 yen.

But the fact remains unchanged that the financial market was wobbly even after the Federal Reserve and main central banks tried their best to push billions of dollars in the international market to normalize funding problem. This week following the falling down of Lehman Brothers and bailout of anxious insurer AIG worsened the whole situation in the financial market as the banks refused to lend amongst each other.

Dollar moved up with not rate cut by Federal Reserve

October 1st, 2008

With Federal Reserve leaving interest rates fixed at 2 percent, dollar experienced a growth on Tuesday. Fed has held the key rates for time being in order to calm down the troubled economical markets, as instead of rate cutes central banks offers conveniences.

With apprehensions caused by insurer American International Group, dollar went into volatile state and made many investors sense possible rate cut. The whole state was followed by a stock market suffering a major decline, biggest one since 9/11. In spite of debates rising up regarding Fed announcement, investors were optimistic. With Bloomberg’s reporting about consideration of loaning to AIG, dollar got that extra push up against yen.

Vice president of trading at Tempus Consulting in Washington, Greg Salvaggio, said that the decision of Federal Reserve for steadying the interest rates will prove as a confident factor for market and bring out the positive vibe about things not being as bad as considered.

On Tuesday, the late New York trading saw euro falling to $1.4153 , with a 0.8 percent of slip. The currency had a well-off session on Monday as it touched $1.4479. While the ICE Futures Exchange’s dollar index moved up to 79.109 DXY with a 0.8 percent high. Dollar experienced a recovery as it rose to 1.6 percent with 106.24 , the revival from a four month low brought its finest moment ever since 1st April.

On Monday, yen faced a major gain against the greenback. Even euro had its time, as it moved on to a 150.40 yen with 0.7 percent of high.

In the midst of concerns regarding global credit crisis, many worried investors turned towards the refuge of the dollar, which acted as a safer zone on Tuesday. Factors that added to the concern regarding economical system of United States included crumpling of Lehman Brothers and the fall in earnings of Goldman Sachs.

Dollar demand also increased with statements from Goldman Sachs. Amid the disturbances caused by financial problems at American International Group and fall of Lehman, panicky investors moved to the safer options and opted for U.S. government bonds discarding the stocks. To conquer the credit concerns, money markets were swamped with cash by central banks. The decision was also aimed at helping the lending.

Market analysts believe that dollar received an edge of benefit from the financial turbulence and jitters arising in United States, as it prompted investors to send money home.

Senior currency strategist CIBC World Markets in New York, Adam Fazio, considered the huge anticipation for foreign-based U.S. investments as well as foreign funds a reason behind the upswing of dollar. He also anticipates a continuation in the trend. Adam added that any such big trend is bound to continue and this dollar upswing will help dollar longs.