In six months Mexico’s Peso rises to the maximum

May 6th, 2009

Peso of Mexico rose to the maximum in more than six months after Mr. Jose who is the Health Minister of Mexico said that the affect of swine flu has increased. This has strengthened the hope that with the reopening of the business the economy will get better. The Peso rose to 13.2338 which is a climb of 4.1 percent. Since October 13 this was Peso’s highest and it also registered the highest in opposition to the dollar amongst the sixteen of the world’s best currencies.

Mr. Salvador who is the head of the fixed-income planning at Banco Santander SA in Mexico City said that the fact cannot be denied that the country’s economy will get better and this will also be good for the Peso.

Mr. Jose said that though the swine flu has been responsible for 25 deaths but now its affects are decreasing. In a television interview the President of Mexico Mr. Felipe said that the exact loss by the outbreak of swine flu can not be yet calculated, but economy’s some parts will make progress very soon and this week the situation will again become normal. The rally of Peso removed last week’s downfall of 3.1 percent which was encouraged by the outburst of swine flu and it would also affect the economy.

Mr. Dirk and Mr. Chandran of Citigroup Inc. in a report have suggested the investors to purchase the Mexican currency in opposition to the dollar. They also said that it appears that swine flu has gone. As per a survey from a bank, the economists believed that the Peso will become weak this year as compared to their earlier expectation. By the end of the year 2009 the Peso will fall to 13.64 per dollar as compared to the earlier estimate of 14.24.

This survey also concluded that this year GDP (Gross Domestic Product) will come down by four percent. The early prediction by the economists forecasted that the economy would come down by 3.2 percent. Mr. Gabriel (chief economist for Mexico and Chile at UBS AG) in a note to the clients wrote that the economists might just decrease their GDP prediction in the next month survey keeping in mind the outbreak of swine flu.

Mr. Agustin who is the Finance Minister made an approximation last week that the fear of swine flu might decrease GDP by 0.2 percent in the year 2009. According to a statement made by Mexico’s finance ministry that Mexico might have to face a downfall of 2.7 percent with the slump in America. According to the ministry, in the first quarter Mexico probably shrank six percent which is a major quarterly downfall in six years.

At a local auction Banco de Mexico purchased pesos worth hundred million dollars. Since October it has reportedly spent $23.4 billion to support Peso from its foreign reserves.

European stocks opens high

May 6th, 2009

With the worldwide risk appetite seems to be cautiously making a comeback European stocks are likely to open high as they are backed up by impressive performance both in Asia and America. According to Mr. Matt who is a dealer at CMC Markets, oil reached a five month high and this will be a good sign for the petrochemicals market even as some positive Chinese economic data is also making an addition to all this.

Mr. Matt called FTSE 100 index of London, which is reopening after a long time gap, up with 72.7 points at 4316.0. DAX index of Frankfurt was called down 6.4 pints at 4893.0 and CAC-40 index in Paris up by three points at 3241.0. He also observed one more thing which is the fading of the fear of swine flu as victims are still not informed properly outside Mexico.

In the meantime the share markets of Asia were also on the higher side with the coal miners and cyclical stocks growing in the worldwide economy. Though the trading was low with the markets of Thailand, Japan, and South Korea stayed closed. In Taiwan shares witnessed a growth of 0.7 percent after gaining twelve percent while Shanghai Composite Index added 0.3 percent with the approval of the plan of developing coastal economic area near Taiwan. Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong was 0.1 percent higher.

On Monday American stocks increased with the traders making a bet that economic recovery was soon approaching, providing desirable lift for the commodity processors and banking sector. The Standard & Poor’s 500 also shifted positive for the current year and it was closed at the topmost position since January 8th, it rose 29.71 points at 907.23. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 214.32 at 8426.72. This was their biggest close since January 13th. The Nasdaq Composite Index increased 44.34 and it closed at 1763.54 which was is biggest close since November 4th.

As for the currencies, the euro following its fresh run up at $1.3371 felt weaker from $1.3404. In the recent weeks the recent currency has rallied in the middle of a worldwide improvement in the risk appetite but on the other hand the euro zone is staying behind. Mr. Jan who is the head of Asian research at Rabobank was of the view that majority of the people will be concerned because of the development prospects in the euro zone didn’t improved as it did in America.

Mr. David who is a market analyst was of the view that the prices of the oil will probably test the $55 barrel level prior to facing the confrontation. In the meantime, the June bund futures agreement begun at 121.97, it came down by 0.02. In a different place spot gold was over nine hundred dollars a troy ounce, after a very impressive performance in New York.

Brazil’s Real witnessed a six month increase

May 6th, 2009

Encouraged by a rally in the stocks and services across the world the Real of Brazil increased a six month high. The currency became stronger 2.4 percent at 2.1195 per American dollar which is the maximum since November 10. The real rose 9.1 percent in the current year which is considered the finest performance amongst the other currencies of the world after rand of South Africa.

Mr. Mario who is the foreign exchange manager at Sao Paulo based Fair Corretora de Cambio was of the view that with the investors making a return to the stock market of Brazil, it will benefit the real. For the first time the Bovespa stock index increased more than fifty thousand since September with the rumors of growth outlook getting better for two of the country’s main export markets and it will encourage for services.

The real also became stronger with the rally in services prices and country’s two-third exports comprises of iron ore and raw materials. Mr. Jorge who is a foreign exchange manager at Rio de Janeiro-based Banco Prosper SA, the bouncing back of the services prices means extra income from the foreign deals and it will only increase the currency.

According to the Trade Ministry, the trading in Brazil increased from March’s $1.76 billion to $3.70 billion in April as China increased the imports of Brazilian services. According to a survey by some of the best analysts, the outcome was more than the median $3.13 billion. The survey conducted by the central bank the analysts make a prediction of 0.29 percent reduction in Brazilian economy in the current year as compared to the downfall of 0.38 percent which was approximated last week.

In nine months for the first time, the manufacturing developed in China while the American building expenditure concluded a six-month downfall. At an auction the central bank of Brazil settled to lend $804 million of a total of $1 billion to the local banks from foreign reserves. As per a statement the bank acknowledged 13 bids. The yield for Brazil zero-coupon bonds due January 2010 increased three basis points to 9.78 percent.

Berkshire Hathaway holds their annual shareholders meeting

May 6th, 2009

The annual shareholder meeting of Berkshire Hathaway Inc was an assortment of both predictable and unpredictable as Mr. Warren who is the chairman and Mr. Munger who is the vice chairman responded to the queries of investors. This years’ convention was a little different from the previous ones as this time around to avoid any individual query, the reporters have pre-screened the questions. As in the previous meetings Mr. Warren was asked about his relationship with Jesus and what he thinks about the game of baseball.

Mr. Warren who is 78 years old presided over the session along with different sayings, viewpoints, and also offered opening outline of how the company performed in the first quarter. According to the reports the entire results will be listed for next week.

The main focus of the annual meeting was mainly revolving around the matter that who will be taking over Berkshire Hathaway after Mr. Warrant mortality and the investors seemed also quite concerned about it. Mr. Warren didn’t mentioned any name that who will be succeeding the positions of CEO (Chief Executive Officer) and CIO (Chief Investment Officer) but the did mentioned about the candidature and about their performance. First quarter operating earnings of Berkshire Hathaway came down from $1.9 billion to $1.7 billion last year.

Mr. Warren confirmed that over last year the company’s book value per share came down by six percent and the reason behind is because of the downfall in the investments value.

Losses and profits from unoriginal are mainly shown in the net income which was not disclosed. Mr. Warren always has made a selection for those stocks which will be having everlasting value. While most of his investments include utilities and insurance, such firms and non-insurance working firms have experienced terrible economic condition. Early in the meeting one vital question which was asked to Mr. Warren was the fresh Moody’s reduction of Berkshire from Aaa to Aa2. Mr. Warren expressed his confidence that the downfall will not be making any difference to the company.

The board of Berkshire has selected four contenders, both externally and internally, for the position of Chief Investment Officer and three internal contenders for the Chief Executive Officer position. Mr. Howard who is the son of Mr. Warren will be handling the Berkshire’s management and taking over as the Chairman along with fifty billion dollar portfolio will get separated between the chairman, CIO and CEO. Four of the deserving contenders for the post of investment officer were unsuccessful to face 38% downfall S500 Index of S&P in the year 2008.

Uncertainty still prevails whether the profits will continue even after the rise in Asian shares

April 13th, 2009

With the preceding week’s profits on Monday the Asian shares witnessed a high once more along with the rise in the financial stocks through the turn down of the service stocks in Australia. The Nikkei of Japan rose to 2.3 percent, NZX-50 of New Zealand had an addition of 0.5 percent, and Kospi of South Korea gained a high by 1.1 percent. But some of the market analysts were not confident about the continual of the market mood due to the economic slump in America.

One of the experts at RBC Capital Markets was the of the view that with some good days in American market previous week the risk seekers will be able to have their first victory after so many months. Last week The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased to 9.01 percent. No main feedback is observed to the remarks made by Mr. Ben who is the Chairman of Federal Reserve. He was the first Federal chairman to be televised on sixty minutes in over two decades. He said that he believes that the economy will soon get normal and this will only happen after the stabilizing of the various banks and financial markets.

Nymex crude oil decreased in the field of electronics after OPEC chose to support enhanced compliance along with the current decrease amid doubts that with the high prices it could endanger the chances of bouncing back in the world economy. Economic stocks witnessed an increase with UFJ FG of Mitsubishi by 4.5 percent, Shinsei Bank increased by twelve percent, and Sumitomo Mitsui FG increased by 5.3 percent. Macquarie included 3.6 percent and Australia’s Commonwealth Bank increased by 3.5 percent.

According to a person having knowledge about the situation the government of Australia has extended the review of China’s Aluminum Corp or the planned US $19.5 billion investment in Rio of Chinalco. Also with an institutional shareholder with Australian Foundation Investment Co was of the view that Chinalco would give major authority and they don’t even have to pay the premium.

Pioneer shares increased by ten percent in Japan while they were not involved in talks with Mitsubishi Electric. According to Yomiuri Shimbun weekend report, the two had started discussion on alliance in car navigation and other fields of auto parts. In Korea the auto stocks were superior following the posting of the good sales in Europe as compared to their competitors. Kia Motors witnessed a high of 4.1 percent and Hyundai Motor increased by 2.1 percent.

In New Zealand Sentiment was assisted by Nuplex saying that for the time being their banks had given up agreements for its senior debt cover ratio and they are also planning a NZ$110 million capita increase.

Their shares got suspended from trade but in the midst of the active stocks, Mainfreight collected 4.0 percent and Pike River Coal increased by ten percent. The market of currency was uneven where the euro dropped early as compared to the yen of Japan and American dollar. After falling to $1.2832 as compared to Friday’s in New York $1.2919 and Y126.38 in Asia the euro was lately recorded at $1.2872. The American dollar was approximately at Y98.11 at first falling to Y97.56. A group of twenty central bankers and finance ministers discussed all new steps in facing the economic slump.

The profit of China Mobile up by 29.6 percent for the year 2008

April 13th, 2009

On Thursday China Mobile Ltd which is the largest phone company across the world made a statement that their profits for the year 2008 increased 29.6 percent regardless of the slow economy. It was also said that it will benefit from stimulus expenditure in Beijing. One of the Beijing’s company said that the earnings increased to 112.7 billion yuan as the revenue increased 15.4 percent to 412.2 billion yuan regardless of the slump and earthquake in China.

According to the statement released by the company, the China Mobile added over 7.2 million new customers every month in the year 2008 which helped in increasing the total to 456 million accounts. According to the number of customers which is estimated at 649 million accounts, China is ranked as the world’s largest cell phone market.

In a statement made by the chairman and Chief Executive Officer Mr. Wang, the year of 2008 was the year of the challenges and the group attained new heights in different fields. Various efforts made to develop the business really helped in flourishing the business. According to the China Mobile Ltd they are anticipating to earn profit from the China’s four trillion yuan stimulus. This way the demand will be increased for the telecom services and will also support government hard work for encouraging domestic development of the technology.

The economic development of China considerably came down to 6.7 percent for the final quarter of the year 2008 and it was down by 2007’s growth of thirteen percent. There is a prediction that in the current year the development rate will decrease to as low as five percent but it will be a major one as compared to any other main economy. Different carriers and China Mobile Ltd experienced heavy loss in the earthquake that hit Sichuan in the southwest of China on May 12th which killed around ninety thousand. One of the employees of the China Mobile Ltd died during the maintenance work.

In a statement China Mobile Ltd said that they suffered no considerable losses due to the economic crisis across the world. Mr. Wang was quite positive about the rollout of the Chinese Mobile of their 3G cell phone mobile network. The whole system is totally based on Chinese standard and it has not been used before. The experts are of the view that the company probably will face some tests if the company provides the complete services that is based on the technology.

The previous year Beijing reorganized their telecom industry in order to refresh the level of competition. They want to reorganize the carriers in the states in three different groups every carrier with the fixed and mobile resources. Mr. Wang gave a statement that China Mobile Ltd will seek more and more overseas investments but he didn’t mentioned any concrete target markets. In the beginning this year for developing the network, the company will be investing five hundred million with its subordinate in Pakistan, CM Pak Ltd.

The Dollar made a major downfall

April 13th, 2009

As the Federal Reserve is preparing for buying Treasuries promoted a rumor of degrading the greenback, the dollar came down against the currencies of the six of the main American business associates ever since the Plaza Accord which took place a quarter century ago. In an interview Mr. Bill who is co-chief investment officer of Pacific Investment Management Co. made a statement that it has given rise to the currency related problems to the degree which has led the Fed to purchase what is not liked by the foreign owners.

He also added that the Fed can easily maintain the rate of interest where they want at least from six to eighteen month but in the future it has its own disadvantages. With the central bank making a decision for increasing their balance sheet by $1.14 trillion lowered yields which reduced the value of US assets. This week since the month of January for the first time American currency came down further than $1.36 per euro.

With the Fed’s move encouraged the progress in the commodities, the New Zealand dollar and Norwegian Krone rallied. Yesterday the dollar decreased 4.7 percent in value from $1.2927 at $1.3581 per euro on March 13. On March 19 the American currency reached $1.3737 which was considered the best of the levels since January 9. The dollar also registered a drop of 2.1 percent from 97.94 to 95.93 yen. For a fifth week as compared to the yen, yesterday the euro increased 2.8 percent to 130.28 from 130.48 which was the highest level since December 18.

This week the trade-weighted Dollar Index of ICE came down 4.0 percent at 83.82. This was considered to be the highest reduction since the week in the month of September 1985 when the countries like Japan, West Germany, America, France, and Britain decided in bringing together the dollar’ depreciation as compared to deutsche mark and the yen.

On March 18 the American currency came down 3.2 percent as compared to the euro which is considered to be the highest fall since the sixteen nation’s currency debut back in the year 1999. Mr. David

Mr. David who is the global head of foreign-exchange planning at Barclays Capital in London in an interview said that the falling of the dollar this week has been valued in the policy reaction. This week the stocks witnessed progress and the crude oil. The 500 Index of Standard & Poor raised 1.5 percent and the crude oil increased more than fifty dollars a barrel.

As compared to the dollar the Krone of Norway came out as a major player where it increased seven percent at 6.376. As compared to the American cents the Australian dollar increased 4.3 percent. Norway is the biggest exporter of the crude oil and sixty percent of the abroad sales of Australia comprises of the raw materials. The peso of Colombia raised 3.5 percent at 2,358 per dollar.

According to Mr. Wen, the foreigners have fifty percent of the profitable Treasury debts. China is a major foreign holder along with $739 billion and China is concerned for the holdings of Treasuries and they expect a promise about the safety of the investments.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc has increased their betting objectives on March 19 to the dollar at $1.39 per euro. On the same day Citigroup Inc. also gave a proposal that their customers will buy the euro against the dollar. As the Japan bought the government notes and made the subordinate loans in banks to encourage the economy the yen came down a three month low as compared to the euro.

Ringgit of Malaysia move towards five week high

April 13th, 2009

Following the rumors of American attempts for removing the bad assets from the banks, Malaysia’s ringgit jumped a five week high. It will help in opening the credit and encourage the up-and-coming market assets and the bonds also registered a fall. The currency witnessed a rise for the fourth day versus the dollar. This happened after the statement made by the American Tresury for financing around one trillion dollars for buying the bad assets in order to renew the economic business.

MSCI Asia Pacific Index for the regional stocks increased on the second day and it is heading towards the biggest close in the two months. According to Mr. Lim who is the head of treasury at ECM Libra Investment Bank Bhd in Kuala Lumpur there is still hope as for the stock market to rise seeing the steps taken by the America. According to the available data in Kuala Lumpur, the rinngit increased 0.3 percent at 3.6264 per dollar. It touched 3.6201, the highest since February 17th.

According to EPFR Global of Massachusetts which is a research company which manages funds worth eleven trillion dollars, the investors are placing $348 million in the equities of the up and coming market. Asia’s five famous currencies increased in which the yen was not included after Mr. Timothy who is Treasury Secretary made a statement that America will be using seventy-four billion dollars to hundred billion dollars for purchasing property assets. It is evident that Public Private Investment Program is dependant on Federal Deposit Insurance Corp and Federal Reserve financing debt assurances.

This year the ringgit dropped down 4.7 percent. For the consecutive second day three year bonds declined and this lifted the yields. The next week the government is also making plans for selling extra securities. According to Bank Negara of Malaysia which is responsible for the sales for the treasury, on March 30th Malaysia will use 4.4 billion ringgit for auction of 2012 notes.

As per their debt schedule next month one more time the government will be selling three year bonds. Mr. Wei who is a fixed income analyst with OSK Investment Bank Bhd in Kuala Lumpur said that as the calendar for auction has been skewed in the direction of temporary bonds, there is still hope some selling difficulties in the three year time. He also added that the supply will increase in the coming month. The price slashed down 0.32 and the basis point is 0.01 percentage point.

Once more Asian shares are on a rise

April 13th, 2009

On Tuesday the Asian shares once again increased which was maintained by a public gathering on Wall Street for detoxifying the banks of their unpleasant loans. Nikkei 225 of Japan increased 2.1 percent after it increased 3.3 percent along with S&P/ASX 200 of Australia increase by 1.4 percent and Kospi Composite of South Korea up by 1.1 percent. NZX-50 also increased 2.3 percent.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed 6.7 percent on Monday as the investors accepted the particulars for the Treasury’s plans for relieving the banks from the debt. The financial field of S&P 500 increased seventeen percent. Mr. Philip who is the first NZ Capital Broker said that this is related to the basic matters which have now being addressed to in America.

The experts at UBS were of the view that they were anticipating rally in stocks to be one more bear market alteration. Mr. Alex who is a senior dealer with ANZ gave his comment as it is quite madness with the things taking place in the equity market. He also said that he would like to make use of an expression i.e. caveat emptor which means that buyer be cautious. The financial stocks making good progress with the ANZ of Australia increased by 3.5 percent, Adelaide and Bendigo Bank increased by 6.1 percent, Suncorp Metway increased by 3.3 percent and Commonwealth Bank up by 4.6 percent. In Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ FG increased by 5.5 percent along with Sumitomo Mitsui FG increase of 3.8 percent and Mizuho FG up by 6.3 percent.

In Tokyo the insurers also increased along with Tokio Marine up by 5.1 percent, but there are chances that some of the profit-takers will turn up in the Japan’s shares. The commodity plays were associated by the strong base metals along with Rio Tinto increased by 5.7 percent, Bluescope Steel up by 4.2 percent, Arrow Energy up by 3.8 percent, BHP Billiton increased by 3.1 percent. OZ Minerals came down fifteen percent with the Foreign Investment Review Board expanded their evaluation of China Minmetals’ A$2.5 billion offer for takeover spoiling the planning of OZ of rapid sanction of the contract.

After having the fresh profits auto stocks didn’t performed well enough. Since February 17th the main index of New Zealand for a short time touched its maximum level. Fisher & Paykel Appliances increased by 8.1 percent, Telecom +4.2 percent, and Fletcher Building increased by 4.8 percent. With the euro at Y133.34, the Japanese yen constantly registered a fall with its maximum level since October 21. The euro also touched $1.3670 from $1.3644 along with the American dollar at Y97.65 from Y96.90.

The yen crossed the Australian dollar hit Y69.24 which is its biggest level since November 10th and the Pound reached Y142.52 which was its best since December 1st. According to Mr. Sean who is a Westpac’s senior currency strategist, the merging of the dollar probably will continue. It also included the selling of the euro in the middle of a talk about the possible step taken by European Central Bank in the direction of quantitative easiness should decrease. The quantitative easing is not possible next week. At the dollar’s cost the currencies of Asia increased along with the greenback fell at KRW1, 384.04 versus Korean won from KRW1, 391.59 on Monday.

Despite of the fall in American Treasurys the Asian government bonds were mixed. May Nymex crude oil futures came down twenty percent at $53.58 per barrel on Globex from rising up to $1.72 in New York.

New Zealand Dollar and Australia Dollar go down

April 13th, 2009

After one month high the New Zealand and Australian dollars came down. According to the statistics department the manufacturing sales without the price rise came down 5.3 percent as for the fourth quarter. Tomorrow The Reserve Bank of Australia released minutes of the board meeting which took place on March 3rd where the policy makers stopped reductions in the borrowing costs. Ever since that meeting the reports of the government showed that the domestic product came down in eight years. This also increased the unemployment rate.

Mr. Sean who is a senior currency strategist in Sydney at Westpac Banking Corp said that because of the Reserve Bank of Australia minutes the markets have moved many times and that is the reason the traders feel uncomfortable. The Australian currency came down 0.2 percent to 65.61 American cents in Sydney from 65.81 cents last week in New York when it reached 66.03 cents. The currency remained the same at 64.46 yen.

Mr. Sean was of the view that the Australian dollar will trade 65.14 to 66.19 cents to the American dollar and New Zealand dollar came down 0.1 percent to 52.38 American cents from 52.47 in New York on March 13th. The New Zealand dollar will be probably doing trade between 51.40 to 52.00 cents to the dollar. For the first time in seven months the policy makers in Australia deserted the standard rate of interest.

For the purpose of purchasing and selling the futures are agreements which are fixed at a decided price and a date. The euro also came down against the dollar, which ended the four days of profits on the rumor that European countries will not be able to increase spending to face the financial slump in that particular area. According to Statistics New Zealand the manufacturing sales in New Zealand also came down to 5.3 percent in the fourth quarter which was led by the fuel, dairy, and meat industries.

In a statement Bank of New Zealand Ltd and Business New Zealand said that the service industry in New Zealand made a contract for eleven month in the month of February with the sales came down by renewing different contracts, crimping the demand for various business services.

Mr. Deda said that there are chances that the Australian dollar will settle above 65.1 American cents and just for a while it might go above 65 cents. He also added that the New Zealand currency might not be able to deal with Australia’s economy because of its current condition. It is projected that in the coming months the New Zealand dollar might grow weaker as compared to the Australian dollar and it might. It might trade between 52 and 52.7 American cents.

The government bonds of Australia were unaffected. The price of 5.24 percent security which is due on March 2019 came down from 0.02 to 107.76.