Archive for September, 2008

On sixth day British Pound advanced against Euro

Friday, September 19th, 2008

It is evident that on the sixth day that the British Pound advanced against the Euro, it also fell in the second session against the dollar. In London the pound registered rise to 79.70 pence per euro at 6:58 am adding 2.1 percent at the time of the streak. The currency of Britain came down to 0.1 percent from $1.7528 to $1.7514.

After hearing the statement given by John Gieve who is the Deputy Governor of Bank of England in the Irish News that the price rise might speed up, yesterday the currency of Britain moved up against the Euro. The rates of interest were kept at five percent by the makers of Central bank policy for the fifth month on September 4 as the risks of the price rise stopped them to cut short the costs of borrowing to encourage the growth.

According to Deutsche Bank AG, Trade-weighted index of the Pound, a gauge of the performance of the currency against main trade associates of Britain increased 0.1 percent to 86.03. In the current year this paired their loss to 9.0 percent. The measure has bounced back from the lower level since the year 2000 last week.

Following Lehman Brothers Holding Inc.’s planning to support their finances eroded demand for the secure resources governmental bonds witnessed a cut down yesterday. With this cut down the ten year old yield up from the lowest levels since the month of April, following the comment of Lehman that they will be selling off the majority stakes at their asset management division and spin off business property.

At London the ten year old yield went up two basis points at 4.44 percent. The five percent security due March 2018 witnessed a fall 0.13 or 1.3 pounds per thousand pounds. The yield on two year note which is very sensitive to the rate of interest anticipations witnessed little alterations at 4.41 percent. Bond yields travel inversely to the prices.

New Zealand Dollar and Australian Dollar still dearer

Friday, September 19th, 2008

According to the financier Jim Rogers, the most awful performers this quarter amongst the other main currencies of the world, Australian and New Zealand dollars are expected to make a comeback. Mr. Jim also told one of the TV channel that he still possesses the Australian Dollar and he is not going to sell it. He was of the view that the reversal of the carry trade will not be for long. Both New Zealand’s and Australia’s currency are two of the superior currencies in the world.

There is a standard rate of interest of seven percent of Australia and for New Zealand it is eight percent. When you compare it with the comparing price of Japan it is 0.5 percent. It is evident that Australian Dollar decreased to eighteen percent in the eight weeks since it reached to a very respectable position on July 16 and it came down under 80 American cents. This happened for the first time since August 2007 and the New Zealand’s Dollar is trading two year low.

Mr. Jim was the person who rightly forecasted about the launch of the commodities in the year 1999 and also gave a comment that he is going to purchase main sufferers of the carry trade like Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen. He also supports Chinese Yuan, Singapore Dollar, and expects American Dollar to become stronger.

Mr. Jim was of the view that he is awaiting for the Dollar to carry on the rally which will make him to sell off the Dollars. The Dollar will probably take some weeks, might can take months, and can be a year to recover as it was in a real bad position.

Mr. Jim who is the Chairman of Roger Holdings of Singapore was of the view that he is still hopeful that in the long run the commodities like oil will witness a hike. The prices of the crude have came down around thirty percent since going up to a record on July 11 at $147.27 a barrel. He commented that it is not the end of the bull market as no one had find out any oil and the depression across the world will probably affect the demand.

Indonesia’s reserves falls to $58.4 billion

Friday, September 19th, 2008

With the end of august, International reserve of Indonesia has fallen to $58.4 billion from last month’s status of $60.56 billion. According the deputy governor, the fall in the reserve is a result of efforts shown by central bank to steady Rupiah.

It is estimated by the dealers of foreign exchange that the central bank has sold a significant amount of dollars in order to improve the condition of Rupiah. The step has been taken to boost the currency in its efforts low down the increasing pressure because of the imported materials and goods.

After hitting a two year high of 11.9 percent in the month of July, the inflation suddenly came down to 11.85 percent in the month of august.

Budi Mulya, Bank Indonesia Deputy Governor, did not give any details on his citing of reason behind the fall. He cited debt repayments and Rupiah stabilization among significant factors causing the fall.

Forex margin platform launched in Hong Kong, by Citibank

Friday, September 19th, 2008

On Tuesday, Citibank launched a trading platform in Hong Kong aiming to tap foreign exchange margin traders in Asia. In next few months, it hopes to extend its Forex margin platform to Japan and Singapore.

According to Citibank, Forex margin trading is booming worldwide by over 25 percent a year with per day income anticipated to be around $100 billion US dollar along with 40 percent of trade accounted by Asia-Pacific zone.

Launched in the month of March in the United States, the platform is aimed at hedge funds, individual traders and money managers.

Citi’s Asia manager of Forex margin trading, Alex Knight, said that with a focus on the high end of the market, Citibank aims at capturing active and lively currency traders as well as those looking to move into currencies.

With no commission charged from Citibank, the platform launched offers spot trading for over 140 currency pairs from 23 primary currencies.

The platform will allow Hong Kong users to open their Hong Kong dollar denominated accounts. According to bank of international settlements, Hong Kong being the sixth largest centre for global Forex market generates a trade of $3.2 trillion of US dollar per day.

Citibank is now planning to launch or expand its product in Europe in first half of 2009, as well as in Japan and Singapore by the end of 2008. Furthermore, it is also having talks of moving the project to markets like china and India.

Forex derivatives hurt exporters

Thursday, September 18th, 2008

With the rupee rising high, all those exporters who entered in foreign exchange derivative deals with the banks in order to manage their losses have now come under different loss situation. These exporters are now suffering losses with a fall of Indian currency (rupee) against US currency.

By stating unfamiliarity with derivatives and its world, small scale sector exporters have come with an agreeable solution their dilemma. They also said that the unfamiliarity has exposed them higher amount of risk and downslide of currency.

President of the All India Forex Derivative Consumers’ Forum, M.R Venkatesh, said that the issue has been taken up to finance ministry as well as with Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Venkatesh blamed banks on breaching RBI standards and said that because of the flouting done with norms exporters have gone through heavy and unmanageable losses. He also said that paying off of such loss will wipe out majority of companies causing massive unemployment as well as attendant law and order issues.

Foliwars launched by Zimbabwe

Thursday, September 18th, 2008

Foreign exchange licensed shops and warehouse has been introduced by the Reserve Bank of India. The bank said that earlier the Foliwars (warehouse and shops) was introduced for a phase of 18 months, but now around 1000 retailers will be receive payments in foreign currency, including payments for fuel.

Gideon Gono, bank’s governor, improvements and changes were realistic reaction to certainty obtain in financial system. He also said if the measures taken by the bank are embraced positively will improve the 2010 world cup preparation in South Africa.

Apparently, applicants would have to present submission signifying IT system utilized estimates of sales volumes, nature of the business as well as ability to handle foreign exchange.

Euro falls 11 months low against dollar

Thursday, September 18th, 2008

On Monday, euro chops down to its lowest and weakest in 11 months against dollar with dollar continuing to avail from takeover of mortgage lenders, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, by government of United States.

Lowest since October 2007, euro was cited $1.4119 with its last trade of the day being 0.9 percent down at $1.4136.

Director of foreign exchange trading at Scotia Capital in Toronto, Steven Butler, said that investors have got more incentive for buying dollar as compared to euro, with the takeover of the two mortgage companies Fannie and Freddie by the government of United States.

Euro descends, as yen moved in early Asia trade

Thursday, September 18th, 2008

With investors fleeing leveraged carry trades in the middle of increasing risk aversion and weakening share bazaar, Yen rushed in an early Asian trading hitting a 13 months high on the descending European currency. The hostile move that came during illiquid period between Tokyo’s opening and New York’s closing, left traders confused.

Director of currency research at GFT Forex in New York, Kathy Lien, called the situation as risk aversion and strict amount of post New York capitulation.

With euro collapsing to 151.12 yen after being to 153.56 on Thursday and around 157.00 day before. The fall was also seen in the US currency which dropped from 107.14 to 106.01 yen, in New York.

Analysts and experts said that, according to the situation, it looked like investors have been bailing out of leveraged carry trades, which is positions funded by taking yen at smaller and low rates to buying better yielding commodities and currencies. Causing yen to take 13 month high leap on Australian dollar , this pushed down Australian dollar to a series of collection.

On Thursday, increasing concerns regarding global economic growth hitting equities and pushing risk aversion higher, knocked Dow Jones industrial average .DJI down to 3 percent.

The biggest causality came in form of euro that fell from $1.4226 after touching $1.4329 on Thursday and to 1.4500 day before, in New York.

Dollar trades higher as it’s rallied against euro!

Thursday, September 18th, 2008

On Thursday, US dollar rallied to its highest against the European currency after slashing of its growth outlook for 15 nation provinces by the ECB or European central bank, advancing the probability of interest rate cuts.

With Jean Claude Juncker’s remark the euro got deeper in loses. The chairman of euro zone finance ministers spoke about zone’s single currency being overvalued in spite of existing fall.

Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB President, said that the uncertainty of euro zone economy was particularly high. His statement came after bank left it standard 4.25 percent of lending rate on Thursday. Trichet also warned against high inflation and risk of it moving upside.

Chief FX strategist at CMC Markets U.S, Ashraf Laidi, said that in spite of Trichet’s hawkish attitude on inflation markets are more focused on growth downgrades of European central bank for euro zone. He also added that this has boosted up the probability of easing of ECB in latter half of year 2009.

The ECB staff now forecasts growth in the euro zone for 2008 at between 1.1 and 1.7 percent. For 2009 it forecasts growth between 0.6 percent and 1.8 percent.
The U.S. dollar rallied on Thursday to its highest against the euro this year after the European Central Bank cut its growth outlook for the 15-nation region, boosting the likelihood of interest rate cuts.

The euro deepened losses after the chairman of euro zone finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker, said the zone’s single currency was still effectively overvalued despite its recent fall. For details see [ID:nL4400641] and [ID:nBRM000070].

Euro zone economic uncertainty was “particularly high,” ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet said after the bank left its benchmark lending rate at 4.25 percent on Thursday. But he cautioned inflation remains high and risks are to the upside. [ID:nL4102376].

“Trichet maintained his unambiguously hawkish language on inflation, but markets are largely focusing on the ECB’s growth downgrades for the euro zone,” said Ashraf Laidi, chief FX strategist at CMC Markets U.S. in New York. “This bolsters the possibility of an eventual ECB easing in the second half of 2009.”

The ECB staff now forecasts growth in the euro zone for 2008 at between 1.1 and 1.7 percent. For 2009 it forecasts growth between 0.6 percent and 1.8 percent.

Dollar falls as Lehman talks of filing for Bankruptcy

Wednesday, September 17th, 2008

Monday witnessed a fall in US currency in Asian trade bazaar, as Lehman Brothers statement raised concerns regarding stability of financial system of United States. The Brothers sparked possibility of rate cut by Federal Reserve, by confirming about their plans for filing for bankruptcy.

From Friday’s closing point of 107.86, US dollar fell 2.3 percent down at 105.45 yen . Whereas the euro stumbled from 153.43 to 152.26 yen. With trade being thin during holiday in Japan, yen gained heavy with investors hanging on to it. Yen hasn’t gained this big since 2002.

On Sunday, chain of urgent and emergency actions was taken by Federal Reserve. The measures were aimed at controlling economical markets as well as to calm down commotion or disturbance following the end of Lehman. Out of the steps measures, one major step was to take equities the same as collateral. According to this change, equities will taken as collateral in support of cash at special credit facility. Fed has taken such step first time in its history so far.

Head of investment research at Bank Julius Baer, V. Anantha Nageswaran, called Federal Reserve’s such ability as a negative point for the United States currency. On Monday, Treasuries scaled on to the concern regarding Lehman, as the measures for rescuing Wall Street investment bank weakened along with the talks that insurer AIG was in quest for urgent funding. According to the statement made by Lehman Brothers, the firm would file for economic failure. Lehman also added that the filing would not include any of its broker-dealer subsidiaries.

In the meantime, reports came regarding acquirement of Merrill Lynch & Co Inc by Bank of America Corp for an amount of $44 billion.

Head of bond fund Pimco, bill gross, said that the decision of filing for bankruptcy could lead to turbulence in the market.